Bayesian Demographic Estimation and Forecasting (Paperback)
 
作者: John Bryant 
分類: Social forecasting, future studies ,
Psychological methodology ,
Epidemiology & medical statistics ,
Probability & statistics ,
Bayesian inference  
書城編號: 2572043


售價: $616.00

購買後立即進貨, 約需 18-25 天

 
 
出版社: CRC Press
出版日期: 2020/06/30
重量: 0.42 kg
ISBN: 9780367571368

商品簡介


Bayesian Demographic Estimation and Forecasting presents three statistical frameworks for modern demographic estimation and forecasting. The frameworks draw on recent advances in statistical methodology to provide new tools for tackling challenges such as disaggregation, measurement error, missing data, and combining multiple data sources. The methods apply to single demographic series, or to entire demographic systems. The methods unify estimation and forecasting, and yield detailed measures of uncertainty.

The book assumes minimal knowledge of statistics, and no previous knowledge of demography. The authors have developed a set of R packages implementing the methods. Data and code for all applications in the book are available on www.bdef-book.com.

"This book will be welcome for the scientific community of forecasters...as it presents a new approach which has already given important results and which, in my opinion, will increase its importance in the future." Daniel Courgeau, Institut national d'

John Bryant 作者作品表

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