eBook: Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions: A Real-Time Approach (DRM EPUB)
 
電子書格式: DRM EPUB
作者: Barend Abeln, Jan P. A. M. Jacobs 
系列: SpringerBriefs in Economics
分類: Economics, finance, business & management ,
Macroeconomics ,
Econometrics ,
Probability & statistics  
書城編號: 27148335


售價: $585.00

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製造商: Springer International Publishing
出版日期: 2023/02/13
ISBN: 9783031228452
 
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商品簡介
Seasonality in economic time series can "obscure" movements of other components in a series that are operationally more important for economic and econometric analyses. In practice, one often prefers to work with seasonally adjusted data to assess the current state of the economy and its future course.This book presents a seasonal adjustment program called CAMPLET, an acronym of its tuning parameters, which consists of a simple adaptive procedure to extract the seasonal and the non-seasonal component from an observed series. Once this process is carried out, there will be no need to revise these components at a later stage when new observations become available.The authors describe the main features of CAMPLET, evaluate the outcomes of CAMPLET and X-13ARIMA-SEATS in a controlled simulation framework using a variety of data generating processes, and illustrate CAMPLET and X-13ARIMA-SEATS with three time series: US non-farm payroll employment, operational income of Ahold and real GDP in the Netherlands. Furthermore they show how CAMPLET performs under the COVID-19 crisis, and its attractiveness in dealing with daily data.This book appeals to scholars and students of econometrics and statistics, interested in the application of statistical methods for empirical economic modeling.
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